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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has totaled 5.5 assists per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.5 minutes per game this year.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Tyler Herro will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (93rd percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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