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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has put up 4.1 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 86th percentile.

Tyler Herro has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile.

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (85th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production across the board.

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