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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 4/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tyler Herro has tallied 4.2 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 87th percentile.

Tyler Herro has averaged 34.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Magic have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to boost possessions for the Heat.

The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improves player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tyler Herro has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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