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Tyler Herro

Tyler Herro Assists
Player Prop - 3/28/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Tyler Herro Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -149 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tyler Herro has compiled 4.3 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 87th percentile.
  • Tyler Herro has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.
  • The Raptors have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Tyler Herro has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Raptors have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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