Ty Jerome Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2026

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Ty Jerome

NBA · Player Props

Ty Jerome

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 21, 2026

Updated Feb 22, 2026 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Ty Jerome Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
The Grizzlies have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Memphis Grizzlies's lackluster 22.0 free throw attempts per game when playing on the road settles in as the 6th-worst in the NBA this year.

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