Ty Jerome Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2026

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Ty Jerome

NBA · Player Props

Ty Jerome

G-F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 11, 2026

Updated Feb 12, 2026 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

Ty Jerome Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
The Grizzlies rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Denver may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's feeble 113.3 points per game away from their home court ranks 10th-worst in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.

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