Ty Jerome Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Ty Jerome

G-F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Ty Jerome Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ty Jerome has attempted 5.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a measly 20.4 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (4th-least in the NBA).
Ty Jerome will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Ty Jerome has attempted and missed 6.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's missed overall this year.
This matchup is a strong one for 3-pointers; the other team have compiled the 9th-highest three rate in the league this year (36.1%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free throw line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, averaging just 17.5 foul shot attempts per game.