Ty Jerome Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ty Jerome

G-F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 2:42 AM EST

Analysis

Ty Jerome Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ty Jerome has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
This matchup is a tough one for attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have averaged the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Lakers are on their home court (30.2).
The Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Ty Jerome has made 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 8.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The matchup against the Lakers is a positive one; they have given up the 5th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (118.2).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; when the Lakers are on their home court, the other team have attempted an enormous 23.9 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the NBA).
Ty Jerome will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.