Ty Jerome Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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Ty Jerome

NBA · Player Props

Ty Jerome

G-F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Ty Jerome Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ty Jerome has converted 72.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 26.4% more than he's converted overall this season away from his home court.
Ty Jerome has successfully made 95.8% of his free throws when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year away from their home court.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Cavaliers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year playing at home (which can also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Cavaliers.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).
Ty Jerome will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance for all stats.

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