Ty Jerome Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Ty Jerome

NBA · Player Props

Ty Jerome

G-F · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Ty Jerome Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ty Jerome has averaged 4.4 assists per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Ty Jerome will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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