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Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Memphis Grizzlies

Troy Brown Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Troy Brown Jr. has accumulated 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (12th percentile).

The Pistons have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.

The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 10th-best in in the NBA playing at home with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Troy Brown Jr. has successfully made 90.0% of his free throws over the last 7 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Troy Brown Jr. has attempted a measly 3.6 shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 5.6 mark last season.

Troy Brown Jr. has averaged 12.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league: 25th percentile.

The Detroit Pistons rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against Memphis is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Grizzlies are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.7).

Over the last 12 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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