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Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Troy Brown Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have posted the lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.5%).

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Lakers.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Troy Brown Jr. has converted a terrific 87.8% of his free throws this season, a big improvement over his 78.5 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Troy Brown Jr. has successfully made 31.2% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, -9.8% less than he's sunk in all games this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Grizzlies have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Grizzlies are the visiting team, the other team have attempted a colossal 26.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

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