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Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Troy Brown Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Troy Brown Jr. has sunk 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
  • The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for shots from the field; their opposition have posted the 10th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (47.2%).
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Lakers.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year as it relates to shots from downtown.
  • The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 26.2 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).
  • Troy Brown Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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