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Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Orlando Magic

Troy Brown Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Troy Brown Jr. has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (14th percentile).

The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Magic have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Lakers.

Troy Brown Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.5% more than he's converted in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Troy Brown Jr. has failed to convert 3.0 three-point attempts per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's missed from downtown overall this season.

The matchup vs. the Magic is a hard one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 12th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Orlando may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 0.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are away from home (14th-least in the league).

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