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Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Troy Brown Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Troy Brown Jr. has been called for 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (14th percentile).
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • When playing away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Troy Brown Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 21.5% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Troy Brown Jr. has shot and missed 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's missed from three over the course of the season.
  • The matchup against the Mavericks is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.1).
  • The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Lakers.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. Josh Green is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; when guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.0 foul shots per game (17th percentile).

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