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Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Troy Brown Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Troy Brown Jr. has attempted 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Troy Brown Jr. has averaged 0.9 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 16th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling.

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Rockets have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should raise plays for the Lakers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Houston is a tough one; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (13.2).

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Houston is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are at home (13th-least in the NBA).

Troy Brown Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens stat production for all stats.

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