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Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Troy Brown Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Troy Brown Jr. has tallied 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (14th percentile).

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Memphis is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Grizzlies are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 28th-highest three rate in the league this year (40.2%).

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Troy Brown Jr. has missed 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's missed from three overall this season.

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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