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Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Troy Brown Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Troy Brown Jr. has converted 52.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 20.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.

Troy Brown Jr. has successfully made a whopping 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant increase from his 78.5 rate last year.

The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to field goals.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.

While playing on the road, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which can also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for threes; the other team have compiled the 4th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (37.1%).

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The Lakers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league while traveling this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

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