Troy Brown Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Troy Brown Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Troy Brown Jr.

G-F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Troy Brown Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Troy Brown Jr. has converted 52.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 20.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Troy Brown Jr. has successfully made a whopping 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant increase from his 78.5 rate last year.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to field goals.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
While playing on the road, the Heat have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which can also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for threes; the other team have compiled the 4th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (37.1%).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Lakers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league while traveling this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

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