Trey Murphy III Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2026

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Trey Murphy III

NBA · Player Props

Trey Murphy III

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Mar 29, 2026

Updated Mar 29, 2026 10:18 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+9900/-99900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -233 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -99900.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Houston Rockets are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year in terms of shots from downtown.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The matchup against Houston may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).

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