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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 1/1/2025

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In contrast to last year's 11.0 rate, Trey Murphy III's shots taken have surged this year to 15.1 per game.
  • Trey Murphy III has converted 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Trey Murphy III measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 34.2 minutes per game this year.
  • This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, labeling this as a good matchup.
  • The 6th-quickest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In regard to offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's lackluster 101.3 points per game while playing on the road comes in as the lowest in the league this year.
  • The Pelicans are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
  • The matchup against the Heat may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).
  • Trey Murphy III will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production across the board.

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