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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2024

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Murphy III has posted 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.5 more than he's posted over the course of the season on the road.
  • Trey Murphy III has attempted 9.1 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year.
  • As it relates to shooting, the Pelicans's fantastic 117.7 points per game as the road team places 7th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).
  • The matchup against the Heat may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pelicans have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.
  • The Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Trey Murphy III is expected to experience a decrease in output across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

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