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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Murphy III has attempted 6.9 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The matchup against Houston is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Houston Rockets are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Trey Murphy III slots into the 25th percentile for three-point ability at home with a a poor 27.3% rate this year.
  • Trey Murphy III has tallied a mere 25.8 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 31.2 minutes per game last season.
  • The Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. Houston may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are the visiting team (13th-least in the NBA).

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