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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 2/9/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Trey Murphy III slots into the 95th percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 7.1 per game this year.
  • This matchup is a tough one for field goals; when the Los Angeles Lakers are on their home court, the other team has put up the 5th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA against them this year (45.7%).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in plays today from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
  • The matchup against the Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 18.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to scoring, the New Orleans Pelicans's feeble 113.0 points per game settles in as the 10th-weakest in the NBA over the last 7 games.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Trey Murphy III has converted 43.8% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 26.2% lower than he's sunk overall this year.
  • Trey Murphy III will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player production across the board.

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