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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Murphy III has attempted 8.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo offense in the league this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Thunder are the visiting squad (24th-most in the NBA).
  • Trey Murphy III will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last year's 31.2 clip, Trey Murphy III's playing time has fallen this year to 25.6 minutes per game.
  • With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have put up 11.0 points per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive productivity.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • This year, opposing squads have captured 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

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