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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Trey Murphy III rates in the 93rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, totaling 6.8 per game this year.

Out of all players in the league, Trey Murphy III places in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a lowly 1.1 fouls per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one for three-pointers; the other team has shot for the 8th-lowest 3-point rate in the league over the last 5 games (35.1%).

The Pelicans will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the league away from their home court with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 31.2 clip, Trey Murphy III's playing time has dropped this season to 26.0 minutes per game.

In terms of 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have come down with 14.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).

Trey Murphy III will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production across the board.

More Trey Murphy III Player Props

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