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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 12/26/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trey Murphy III has attempted 5.8 treys per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8thbest in in the NBA at home with 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

This year, opposing teams have come down with 10.6 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (losing possessions that could otherwise create more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 31.2 clip, Trey Murphy III's playing time has dropped this year to 26.4 minutes per game.

With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league at home over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

This year, the other team has averaged 38.7% on threes (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, designating this as a favorable matchup.

This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the other team has attempted a massive 24.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-most in the NBA).

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