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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trey Murphy III has sunk 2.8 shots from downtown per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for threes; their opposition has shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (31.4%).

The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Trey Murphy III has successfully made 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's sunk overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 31.2 rate, Trey Murphy III's playing time has dropped this year to 25.6 minutes per game.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; their opposition has attempted a monstrous 27.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (most in the league).

More Trey Murphy III Player Props

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