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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trey Murphy III has converted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.

Trey Murphy III has tallied 30.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 82nd percentile.

The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Pelicans.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Pelicans.

The Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to 3-pointers, the Pelicans's subpar 10.6 drained threes per game while playing away from home places 3rd-weakest in the league this year.

This year, opposing teams have averaged 38.5% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, resulting in a favorable matchup.

This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Spurs are at home, the other team has attempted a monstrous 26.0 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Trey Murphy III will likely suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this game.

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