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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III ranks in the 92nd percentile for threes sunk when playing on the road, posting 2.3 per game since the start of last season.
  • Among all players in the league, Trey Murphy III comes in at the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.3 minutes per game since the start of last season.
  • The 9th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 11 games has been the Pelicans.
  • The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Washington Wizards).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.
  • The Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Wizards are at home, the other team has attempted a massive 26.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).
  • Trey Murphy III will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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