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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Murphy III has attempted 8.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
  • Trey Murphy III has played 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 higher than he's played overall this year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Pelicans.
  • Trey Murphy III has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 10.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from his home court.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. Minnesota is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 10th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.2).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Trey Murphy III will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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