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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Murphy III has sunk 48.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 8.7% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season on the road.
  • Trey Murphy III has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 21st percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
  • The matchup against the Rockets is a good one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (16.0).
  • The Rockets have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Trey Murphy III will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player performance across the board.

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