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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Murphy III has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (17th percentile).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • On the road, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Trey Murphy III has successfully made 95.8% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 12.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.2 foul shots per game this year (23rd-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Trey Murphy III has sunk 38.6% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.
  • The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (41.1%).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
  • The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pelicans.

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