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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Murphy III has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the league (17th percentile).
  • This matchup is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing squads have shot for the 4th-lowest FG% in the league over the last 25 games when the Magic are the visiting squad (45.6%).
  • The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Trey Murphy III has successfully made 95.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 12.0% more than he's made over the course of the season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Trey Murphy III has successfully made 38.6% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
  • On the road, the Magic have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Magic are the visiting team, the other team have attempted a monstrous 24.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).

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