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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Trey Murphy III Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trey Murphy III has attempted 5.5 threes per game this year, significantly more than his 3.1 rate last year.

Trey Murphy III has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.5% more than he's sunk overall this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Trey Murphy III will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have averaged the 4th-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (13.3).

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for threes; away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 5th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (29.7%).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.0 free throws per game since the start of last season (6th-least in the league).

More Trey Murphy III Player Props

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