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Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III Assists
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Trey Murphy III Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Murphy III has posted 4.0 assists per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's posted over the course of the season on the road.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Trey Murphy III ranks in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, tallying only 1.1 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Trey Murphy III has been on the court for a measly 25.9 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 31.2 minutes per game last year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Pelicans.
  • Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have collected 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
  • Trey Murphy III will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player production across the board.

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