Trey Lyles Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has compiled 1.5 offensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the league leaders by this standard recently: 82nd percentile.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has played 13.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.6 less than he's played in all games this season.
The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
Trey Lyles will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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