Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 22, 2025

Updated Mar 23, 2025 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has compiled 10.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's compiled over the course of the year.
Trey Lyles has converted 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 10.3% higher than he's converted overall this year while playing at home.
The Kings will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9th-best in in the league at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Trey Lyles has attempted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Favors Under

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league while at home this year has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.

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