Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 20, 2025

Updated Mar 21, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has sunk 51.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 7.2% higher than he's made in all games this season when playing at home.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Kings.
The Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Kings check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Trey Lyles will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Kings check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to treys.
Out of all players in the league, Trey Lyles ranks in the 25th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a bad 69.0% rate this year.

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