Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has successfully made 62.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 29.3% more than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has played 13.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.6 less than he's played in all games this season.
With respect to three-point shots, the Kings's feeble 33.2% rate of sunk threes as the visting team ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
Trey Lyles will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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