Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has sunk 51.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.4% higher than he's sunk overall this year when playing at home.
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Kings.
The Kings have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Trey Lyles has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 28.1% more than he's sunk overall this season playing at home.

Favors Under

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Sacramento Kings's poor 34.4% rate of made threes settles in as the 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.

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