Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 3, 2025

Updated Feb 4, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has made 39.9% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Kings rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Kings will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
Trey Lyles should suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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