Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 14, 2025

Updated Jan 15, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Trey Lyles comes in at the 17th percentile for shooting prowess with a subpar 37.9% rate this year.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Kings's feeble 31.9% rate of sunk threes away from home rates 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
Trey Lyles is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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