Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 8:15 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has successfully made 45.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 11.4% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
Trey Lyles has averaged 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Chicago Bulls).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Trey Lyles lands in the 16th percentile for shooting ability with a lackluster 38.2% rate this year.
The Kings rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league without the home court advantage this year.
Trey Lyles will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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