Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 5, 2025

Updated Jan 6, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has scored 13.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's scored overall this season.
Trey Lyles has made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to 3-point shots, the Kings's unimpressive 30.5% rate of sunk threes while on the road comes in as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year.
Trey Lyles will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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