Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 2:55 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has made 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season at home.
The Kings will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Kings rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Trey Lyles has sunk 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's put through the net overall this year.
Trey Lyles will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Kings have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the home team this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The Kings have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

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