Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to offense, the Kings's terrific 120.4 points per game places 5th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
Among all players in the NBA, Trey Lyles slots into the 100th percentile for foul-shot efficiency when playing on the road with a terrific 100.0% rate this year.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has successfully made 30.2% of his field goal attempts while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 9thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Trey Lyles will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this contest.

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