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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trey Lyles has converted 51.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 14.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing at home.
  • The Kings rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Bulls have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Trey Lyles will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Trey Lyles has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
  • This matchup is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team has totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (39.6).
  • The 9th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
  • The Chicago Bulls have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
  • As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 19.7 free throw attempts per game rates 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

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