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Trey Lyles

Trey Lyles Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trey Lyles has sunk 46.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 13.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.

This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have attempted 14.8 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Trey Lyles measures in the 24th percentile for shooting proficiency with a a weak 39.7% rate this year.

Trey Lyles has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have averaged 37.8 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.

The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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