Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 3:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has sunk 46.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 13.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the season on his home court.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have attempted 14.8 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Trey Lyles measures in the 24th percentile for shooting proficiency with a a weak 39.7% rate this year.
Trey Lyles has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (78th percentile).
Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have averaged 37.8 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).
The Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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