Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-132).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
This year, opposing clubs have registered 109.4 points per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 7th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; their opposition has attempted a measly 19.0 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
Trey Lyles will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Trey Lyles comes in at the 9th percentile for field goal prowess while on his home court with a a feeble 30.2% rate this year.
Among all players in the league, Trey Lyles registers in the 12th percentile for three-point effectiveness while at home with a a poor 16.7% rate this year.
Trey Lyles has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.1 technicals per game last year.
The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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