Trey Lyles Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2023

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trey Lyles has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 18th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Lakers.
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a whopping 21.5 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has posted just 5.8 points per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 points per game last year.
Trey Lyles has attempted just 4.9 shots from the field per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 7.5 mark last year.
Trey Lyles has tallied just 14.0 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 20.0 minutes per game last season.
On the road, the Lakers have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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